building costs Archives - Teton Realty Blog

I’ve always got to start with my typical disclosures. I’m obviously not a builder, but I work closely with builders and stay in touch with customers that have projects in the works. I always tend to have a few projects going on myself, as well.

I wrote an article back in 2015 with information about my experience with the cost of construction. As you probably already know, things have changed quite a bit since then. In addition, a good portion of my 2015 project was sweat equity. I later constructed another small home in 2017, and I should have updated this article then as I relied more heavily on subcontractors, though I acted as the general contractor in both circumstances. I later again acted as my own contractor during an extensive remodel of my 1980s home, and I am currently closely involved in a project with a general contractor.

Getting back to the nuts and bolts, the cost of construction has gone up pretty dramatically. Obviously there are a few things at play here including material costs, supply shortages on both materials and labor, not to mention the cost of living which has changed pretty significantly since 2015. This definitely trickles down to the cost of labor as well. To have some fun, I looked at some of the material costs from my previous projects. I decided to use 7/16 OSB or sheeting as my “gold standard”. That may not be totally accurate across the board for all lumber and materials, but it’s a good indication as to what’s going on.

7/16 OSB, 2015-2022
2015: $9.22
2017: $14.71
2021: $23.99*
2022: $60 +/-

Materials
To be fair, that 2021 price is… not fair. If you were watching, you might remember there was a lumber bubble that popped in the Fall of 2021, and we all thought that may be a tipping point on material costs. That assessment was incorrect, as things jumped right back up to a high point, and continued that trajectory. The interesting point was how much that drop in lumber prices could impact a typical 2000 square foot home. The answer (in rough numbers) was about $15,000. Obviously some great savings in that scenario, but it’s probably not going to make or break the bank in the scheme of a large (or even a small) project. When we look at all material costs, you can see where it all starts to add up. Virtually everything is in high demand and is experiencing some sort of shortage. Appliances, tile, drywall, copper, plumbing materials, whatever. When you add it all up, it’s pretty significant.

Labor
As mentioned, the cost of living and therefore the cost of labor trickles down to costs; and can have a pretty significant impact on them. If a concrete company’s cost of labor goes up 20% because the cost of living is up 20% (realistically more) the contractor can’t just absorb that cost. Here again, concrete, framing, roofing, mechanical/electrical/plumbing… the list goes on. The biggest contributor to the issues described?

Supply and Demand
Supply of rental homes is extremely low. Supply of existing homes for sale is low. Materials, labor, contractors, everything is in low supply. Demand? You guessed it, through the roof – pun intended. While the lack of supply has a direct impact on the cost of materials and labor, there are indirect costs as well. If I can sell my used car for 10% more than I paid new, I am absolutely going to do that. In addition, I think there is likely some price gouging going on out there. Regardless, the bottom line is that people in small communities make their living when the economy is doing well. I’m not just speaking for myself when I talk (or think) about slow times.

What gives?
It’s interesting to read articles about economic cycles and what seems to be a universal opinion that times are different in terms of a potential real estate recession. Supply is still extremely low today. However, while leading up to the recession in the mid-2000s, supply was out of whack. Regardless, I’ll never make a steadfast economic prediction – and I’ll never promise that a recession won’t happen. That said, I do believe that rising interest rates will create some affordability issues (who am I kidding, there are already pretty significant affordability issues) that will tamp down the demand for construction which is already expensive. I also believe that notwithstanding prices rising so quickly, I do believe the pandemic created some shelter, keeping things in control because costs increased so significantly. With these changes in our economy, we can only hope to see some relief to balance the market. If this occurs, it will undoubtedly help stabilize some of these crazy construction prices.

Okay, I’m done blabbing about the stuff you probably already know.

So what’s it cost?
I didn’t reread my article, but I recall building my first project pretty affordably, keeping in mind that I did so much of that work myself. Costs obviously went up in 2017, and I do remember it getting more difficult to line up contractors – there was quite a bit more construction happening then. A few other considerations, some builders calculate a basic garage in their square footage cost estimate and I think you could accomplish that with the numbers below assuming modest construction, keeping in mind that Teton Valley’s modest construction tends to be a little on the “higher end” side of things including better heating systems, insulation, etc. Most of the contractors here use 5/8 drywall, 12 gauge wiring, and so on.

The Numbers

2015: $250/SqFt
2017: $310/SqFt
2022: $420/SqFt

A couple of years ago I did an article about building costs in Teton Valley. At the time, it seemed like building costs exceeded what the average home sale price was at the time. Well, it seems like we are at that point once again, only building costs are even higher.

So, why are building costs so high? I’ve spoken with several builders and contractors. I’ve also talked with subcontractors. I was hoping I could pinpoint one major area, but unfortunately it is a number of items contributing to today’s building costs.

Labor: This is an obvious place to look when trying to balance your overall project cost. Yes, it is true, this is one of the larger contributing elements, but not to the point that it alone even comes close to the overall cost hike. Why is labor up? The cost of living is up. Home prices, rental prices, even groceries are more expensive than they used to be, even two years ago.

Subcontractors: Subcontractors are one of the main contributors as well. Subcontractors are usually defined as someone who carries out a specific task as part of an overall project. Examples include masons, electricians, plumbers and so forth. General Contractors oversee various Subcontractors who carry out most of the work. If you ask a General Contractor or “General” most of them report that these Subcontractors or “Subs” are price gouging because demand is so high. If you ask a Sub, they will report that labor costs are high and laborers are difficult to find. Personally, I think it’s a combination of both. We know the problem with labor costs and while I don’t think Subcontractors are gouging per se, they are certainly taking advantage of market conditions.

Materials: Materials are being impacted in many different ways. Remember that building materials don’t just include plywood. Industries can affect material costs. The main element in your electrical wiring is copper, which is an industry by itself. Fuel cost can have an impact, as well as regulations on imported goods which is currently having an impact on the overall dynamic. Further, just like high demand for subcontractors, I personally feel that high demand for materials results in higher prices.

In a nutshell, I’ve identified the main elements required for constructing a home. Time, labor, materials. The more complex issue is the number of contributing factors to each major element. Interestingly, it’s all gridlocked between high demand, increasing cost of living resulting in higher labor costs and changing Industries. Each of these major elements has its own set of smaller items that make up the problem. Here in Teton Valley, these elements are compounded by higher than average cost of living, and our remote location which only adds to material costs and lack of availability for contractors. I believe it is these two elements which have the biggest impact for our local market when comparing building costs with other areas, while the National trends such as high demand for builders and increasing material costs create the foundation that supports our local challenges.

So what does all of this mean for our local market? First, home prices are likely going to continue to rise to meet increasing costs of building. Second, we need to keep an eye on our rate of growth so as not to oversupply of the market, which ultimately will happen when comparing where our market is in the cycle of growth, oversupply, recession and recovery. Obviously we are on our way up, and we will likely create an oversupply which will in turn stabilized prices once again. Do I feel we are headed towards 2008 again? Not really. These cycles have been occurring for many years, by far predating the recession 10 years ago. Fortunately interest rates are still extremely low which creates a favorable environment for buyers to invest. 1% over 30 years on a 354k home (the median price in Teton Valley last month) will result in about $56,000 in interest over the life of the loan.

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