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Affordable Housing Crisis

February 12, 2019 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

After attending a routine affordable housing meeting at the Teton County courthouse yesterday, I thought I would follow up and share my view with my readers.

Back in 2014 a survey was taken to determine the extent of affordability problems for housing and the local workforce. It of course showed that housing is difficult to find, is too expensive for the workforce, and that overall living conditions were crowded and less than ideal (all true). Regardless, at the time, I felt like the information was retrieved with a small portion of frustrated tenants. I now feel like the information is probably outdated. I would anticipate the average income has increased, but so have rents. The report also seems to mesh affordable home ownership and lack of affordable rentals, a big difference as pointed out by a commenter in yesterday’s meeting.

Now that you have an overview and understanding of the problem, the question becomes, what is the solution? Build affordable homes both for rent, and for sale. There are two problems that I can see with this tactic.

1) Obvious. Who pays for it? Construction costs exceed the necessary cost to complete a home that will ultimately be affordable, and if it were affordable, who pays for it? I suppose it would be an easier proposition for a developer and investor at that point, however.

2) At the meeting, I played devil’s advocate and brought up the second concern. What is the housing crisis is not as bad as we think it is, we find a way to build the necessary supply ***side note, one commenter mentioned the number of needed units to be in excess of SIX HUNDRED units*** at which point we create a localized bubble and oversupply of homes for purchase and homes for rent. This could have a lasting negative impact on existing homeowners who rely on rental income for their investment. I also mentioned that being in both the real estate and property management business, I did not believe that this number was accurate based on the business that comes through my door. This comment was brushed aside as inaccurate data that could not be measured based on my experience as a business owner, and that they would rather rely on the 5 year old report.

I should note that despite the problems, there was also another issue being discussed during the meeting that according to their analysis was exacerbating the problem. That is short-term rentals. They said that because of the increasing number of short-term rentals, we are taking away from affordable housing supply. I commented that I felt short-term rentals, or even higher quality long-term rentals have very little to do with affordable housing. Affordable housing does not make a great short-term rental, and a second homeowner or investor (or someone who owns a home and moved out of the area) are not going to forego higher rents to help solve an affordable housing crisis. I mentioned this, because it was brought up as part of the solution, which is what I’ll discuss next.

SOLUTIONS: No one at the meeting was threatening to restrict short-term rentals to strong-arm homeowners into renting on a long-term basis, hopefully an affordable one. I believe it was being discussed because of the lack of owners not operating a legitimate rental and paying their proportionate share of local city taxes. I suppose it could be argued that these taxes could help support a housing authority for low-income housing, but I believe this is a totally separate issue that should not be a part of the discussion at hand because it’s simply creates tension with those who are pro-property right and or own a short-term rental, further convoluting the issue at hand.

Even if the local government were to capitalize on tax income to help support the problem, it certainly doesn’t solve it. Another potential solution was to create deed restricted housing that could only be used for low-income purposes. This does help solve one of my two concerns above, that it could create an oversupply problem. If the units are restricted to a certain group of people who actually need the product, both for sale and for rent, it isolates itself and will likely have less impact on market priced homes. It may, in part, help with the second major problem, funding. If these units are restricted to low-income use, it may be feasible that there are available grants to help fund the project.

With the above being said, taxation and grants don’t solve the elephant in the room of funding a project like this in a market where construction costs are exceedingly high. However, discussions are a start. I just think it needs to be an approach that addresses all of the issues, including potential negative impacts. It also needs to be a solution that can be bipartisan from a political standpoint. That may seem silly in a small community like this, but I heard two very clear voices during the meeting. One stated that regulation of short-term rentals, of property rights, and taxation are not the solution to the problem. Another stated that we live in a community with many second homeowners, and even multiple homeowners. I believe the commenter’s exact words were that a person who owns their 7th home needs to participate in funding the problem. While I have no political agenda, I can see the handwriting on the wall. One commenter got it right, he said that both locals who have been here for generations, second homeowners, and even the workforce are here for one primary reason, and that is the opportunity to live in one of the most beautiful places on Earth, with it’s unique sense of community. We all want to preserve that. However, it relies, in part, on the workforce who needs this housing. The 7th homeowner needs those services, and the commenter believes that many of them will take steps to help ensure it remains this ways for generations to come, even if that means providing financial assistance.

If we can find a way to approach this without battling conservative State legislature which is in place to promote property rights, and without creating future problems for ourselves, while supporting a problem that we all can recognize, we should absolutely try. It to happen efficiently, effectively, and it needs to be based on real time, accurate data.

Wire Fraud & Real Estate

January 21, 2019 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

As one might imagine, fraud is a word used abundantly in the real estate industry. Here are a few examples, and how to handle them.

Wire Fraud:

Usually wire fraud is associated with email. In order for a hacker to get you to wire money to them, they’ll need to intercept and change account numbers for what would be an otherwise unassuming, planned transaction. Scenario: A hacker is monitoring a title company’s emails. The hacker sees that you plan on purchasing a property. He’s monitoring emails that have the key words “wire instruction”. He intercepts an outgoing message with the title company’s wiring instructions attached. He simply changes the numbers to reflect his bank account he previously setup with a fictitious name. You receive the instructions, and send the wire. Since wire transactions are usually instant, (the reason we like to use them) he immediately transfers or withdraws money, and it’s gone. This scenario is less likely to occur based on recent diligent efforts on behalf of these companies, but what if you received and impersonated email from your real estate agent? In almost all cases, these are honest mistakes, but they can cost the sender thousands of dollars of unrecoverable funds.

The Solution is easy. ALWAYS verbally confirm wire transfers with the recipient including the account numbers before sending any wire.

Paper Check Fraud:

Fortunately for the consumer, these cases are more typically aimed at real estate brokerages. Scenario: Thief 2 poses herself as a real estate buyer. She contacts an unassuming real estate agent and informs the agent she would like to make an all-cash offer on a property she viewed on her own the prior summer. She’s willing to offer full price, and wants to put down $10,000 of earnest money that can be refunded within 10 days to give her time to perform due diligence and inspections, which is very common. She is of course emailing using a fake name, and is working overseas, so prefers email as opposed to conversation. The real estate agent secures a contract very easily with her full price offer. She sends a fake cashier’s check in the amount of $10,000. Shortly after, she changes her mind and asks for a refund. Because she is traveling and working in Ukraine, she asks if the funds can be refunded via money transfer or wire to her account, of course setup using her fictitious name. The agent is disappointed, but she is still within her inspection time frame. He terminates the contract, and wires the money back to her. 10 days later, the bank notifies the real estate broker that the cashier’s check has bounced. Unfortunately these situations do occur, and cashier’s checks can be fraudulent as well.

There are many circumstances in which hackers and thieves can take serious advantage of consumers, the public, and even government as we have seen. It’s easy to fall into these traps, just remember, always verify. Confirm account numbers, call the bank associated with a cashier’s check, etc. Verbal communication with real institutions is absolutely key when dealing with these large transactions.

The Government Shutdown and Real Estate

December 23, 2018 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

As we know, not ALL government agencies shut down. For example, those “non-essential” agencies, such as those needed to ensure public safety, remain open.

For most of us, government agencies related to real estate are not essential…

Rather than listing the real estate related effects of (this) a shutdown myself, I’ll leave it to the Wyoming Association of Realtors (Iam a member of both the Idaho and Wyoming Associations since I try to sell real estate in both Teton Counties).

There are three areas of concern for your business: 1) the availability of federal flood insurance under the National Flood Insurance Program, 2) delays in processing of FHA-backed mortgages, and 3) slower response times by IRS offices for tax information needed for real estate transactions.

Flood insurance

Update 12/21, 8pm ET: Flood Insurance Extended Until May 31

NFIP’s authority to sell flood insurance policies expires at midnight tonight. Should the program lapse, NFIP will not be able to sell or renew policies. Existing NFIP policies will remain in effect until their expiration date.
NAR FAQ Sheet: Flood Insurance Extension Update(link is external)

FHA programs

Under a shutdown, FHA will furlough non-essential employees. Delays are possible in loan processing and approval. Mortgages backed by secondary mortgage market companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not affected, nor are mortgages backed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs.

Tax information

To the extent taxpayer information from the IRS is needed, transactions can face delays as IRS offices, subject to furloughs of non-essential employees, take longer to reply to requests.

November ’18 Market Stats

December 16, 2018 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

For November 2018’s Teton Market Update, I compared Teton Valley sales stats compared to November of 2017. In a nutshell, sales are down 24% from one year ago, while dollar volume is only down 18%. My interpretation of this was that supply remains low, which is driving prices up. This is consistent with the data for 2018 vs 2017, the average sales price in Nov. ’18 was around 350k, while Nov. ’17 was about 5% less. Sales volume is down due to inventory levels (as mentioned) which is likely because of high construction costs, which has been the trend for the past few years.

Victor, ID seems to be building a healthy supply, so we’ll see if these numbers switch places in the coming months.

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