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2021 Residential Year End Sales Report

February 16, 2022 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

While the number of residential sales is down compared with 2020, the average sales price is a completely different story. Almost unbelievably, the average sales price in Teton Valley has more than doubled since year end of 2018, and has surged above $1m by the 3rd Q ’21.

Building Costs
Building costs have played a major role with respect to residential home prices, keeping inventory low and not giving spec home builders a confidence to meet the demand of new buyers to the area. It’s hard to quantify how much building costs have risen, but personal experience and interviewing with a few builders confirms my thoughts of somewhere in the range of 50 to 60% since 2020, somewhat consistent with the increase in the average sales price from 2020 to 2021.

2021 Year to Date
As with all market reports it’s important to look at both average sales prices as well as median sales prices that better indicate realistic numbers for middle of the road properties. A few key takeaways include the average sales price growing steadily quarter by quarter in 2021, but the median sales price reducing slightly in the fourth quarter, which is consistent with what we saw with 2021 land sales as well. Here are the numbers:

2021 Average Sales Price
Q1: 694,900
Q2: 966,655
Q3: 1,005,521
Q4: 1,093,040

2021 Median Sales Price
Q1: 558,429
Q2: 664,000
Q3: 724,950
Q4: 649,000

Predictions
This will probably sound a lot like all of those National news articles you’ve been reading, but most expect these unusual market increases as well as demand to subside back to normal rates sometime in 2022 due to supply chains catching up and interest rates increasing. With respect to our micro market, it’s hard to say when that will happen. Building costs remain high, lumber futures are again on the rise, and most builders are backlogged for the next 18 months or more. If we do see stabilization throughout the Nation, my suspicion is that it will take some time for Teton Valley to follow suit.

Measuring the Value of Land by Price per Acre

November 28, 2021 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

I have been meaning to draft this article for quite some time, it is one of those articles that’s relevant in any market. That is, valuing a particular piece of property based on a cost analysis per acre. This is a measure that we will sometimes use when valuing large farm acreages. For us working in the industry, that’s usually where it stops. For others, that methodology trickles down into residential property which in my opinion, is usually not appropriate. I share this opinion with most when discussing values, but usually when customers, be it Buyers or Sellers, start forming their own opinion it’s hard to get them to change their perspective. For Buyers, it’s a way of arguing the value down, and for Sellers the opposite. I’ve heard this a few times…

Anyway. A local analogy I often use as an example is a development between Driggs and Victor. It’s really one large interconnected development with two phases, but it was organized as two separate adjoining developments that share the same rules and regulations. The East half/development comprises 2.5 acre lots and the West half comprises 1 acre lots, but there’s a catch – an important one. The current county density requirement in this area is one home (and guest home if the subdivision allows) per 2.5 acre parcel. The average density of the East development is obviously 2.5 acres. The West development also has an average density of 2.5 acres. Each 1 acre parcel is surrounded by community-owned open space that cannot be developed. Currently on market is a $190,000 1 acre parcel and a 2.5 acre parcel nearby priced at $109,000 per acre. Does that mean that the one acre parcel surrounded by open space is only worth $109,000? Obviously not.

Okay, so the above example is easy to justify. Let’s move across the valley into the Teton View corridor. To keep things fair, we need to keep the area similar. Properties East of State Highway 33 should be valued differently than those West of side of the highway. Let’s compare parcels in developments with no open space, one parcel being 2 acres and another being 5 acres. Am I saying each of these have the same value? No, but they certainly could. What I am saying is that if I were asked to value each of these parcels I wouldn’t even look at the cost per acre (yes, I would look at the overall size) of nearby listings or sales. The important thing to remember here again is that each parcel allows ONE primary home. I could compare 2.5 acre parcels with 5 acre parcels in the primary view corridor all day long and would probably find more 2.5 acre parcels that I would recommend to customers regardless of overall price or price per acre. I’m going to look at budget, proximity from the highway, property features, overall development value and restrictions and of course, the viability of an unobstructed view down the road. In other words, is it conceivable that I would value a 2.5 acre parcel and a 5 acre parcel the same? Absolutely. Does it mean I don’t take the size of a parcel into consideration? No, it does not.

The important thing to understand when determining or justifying the value of any given tract of vacant land is to remember to look at the entire picture. A 2.5 acre parcel overlooking 200 acres of an adjacent development’s open space has tremendous value. Trees, creeks, undulation in terrain, community features and amenities AND size – all of these elements should dictate the value of a parcel. It is not fair or reasonable to value any given property using just one of these metrics.

Updating your Insurance Policies

September 30, 2021 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

One of the tools we use to protect our real estate investments includes insurance policies. The obvious one is your homeowners insurance. With both real estate values and construction costs going crazy, we often overlook the level of protection we have in the event of a catastrophe. If you acquired your home more than a year or two ago, it’s definitely time to revisit this.

Even more overlooked includes title insurance. In fact, many of us don’t even realize that we have a title insurance policy. That’s because title insurance policies are issued once, usually at the time you purchased your property. To reiterate a few of my past articles, title insurance is a form of insurance designed to protect lenders and homeowners from financial loss due to a defect in title. Policies are issued to lenders for the loan amount and owners for the purchase amount. Defects in title can range from errors in the public record to liens on the property and a huge variety of other issues related to your home’s title and its history.

So, if you’ve been issued a policy at the time you purchased your property, why update it? Much like your homeowners insurance policy, we have to establish a value to base the policy. If you are insuring your 800k home for only 400k, you’re only covered up to 400k in the event of an incident. Title insurance works the same way. When a title insurance policy is issued, it’s usually for the original purchase amount. If you purchased your property more than a few years ago, chances are that you’ve seen a significant increase in the value of your property. If a defect is found or if one arises, it’s important to remember that you’re only covered for the original amount of your policy. This can be especially concerning for those improving their properties.

When it comes to updating your homeowners insurance policy, it’s usually just a quick phone call to your insurance provider. In most cases they are aware of the market conditions and can easily make adjustments. Increasing insured amounts is not unusual in markets like these, but it will add to the annual premium cost. Updating your title insurance policy can also be done, but it will sometimes require additional information to justify the increase in value. If you are refinancing the property the appraisal is an easy solution. However, even if you aren’t in the process of refinancing, your property’s assessed value with the county can be enough to increase the limits on your title insurance policy. Similar to your homeowners insurance, this will add to the premium, but remember that title insurance is a one-time expense, so the added premium will only be paid one time. In order to update this you will need to contact the title insurance company that wrote the original policy. If you don’t remember who this was, you can usually reference your deed or contact your real estate agent who should have a record of this for you.

Backup offers – a good idea?

August 29, 2021 By Tayson Rockefeller Leave a Comment

This is a contentious one amongst real estate agents. Before I get into that thought process, let’s go over the mechanics.

You’ve listed your home, you had a number of good showings and two great offers. Of course, you can only choose one. The other buyer presents a backup offer with a “backup addendum” accompanying the offer. It’s a short agreement, and it basically states that your agent will give them notice if the first buyer terminates. Things will then commence in accordance with the terms of their offer as soon as they receive that notice. If they have a deadline for an inspection, to deposit earnest money or provide a pre-approval letter, the clock won’t start ticking until that notice of the first position offer terminating is provided. Essentially things automatically roll right into the second offer.

Usually, a buyer’s agent is always an advocate for a backup offer because the buyer can terminate the backup offer up until the notice is given, at any time. Basically, there’s no risk. This is exactly why some agents agree that accepting a backup offer is a detriment to a seller. Why not just go back to the market and potentially receive more offers?

When acting as listing agents, we sometimes get used to increasing markets so it’s easy to make this advice. However, (in my view) there are still a few good reasons to consider a backup offer if a buyer wants to present one.

1) As agents, we try, but don’t always take a seller’s emotions into account like we should. I can tell you that listing a home in today’s competitive market is exhausting. We sometimes field dozens (even hundreds) of calls, texts, emails, social media notifications, the list goes on. It also doesn’t matter the day of the week or the time of the day, and we juggle a huge number of showings and showing requests. With all of the craziness, we sometimes forget that the seller oftentimes endures some of the same challenges. Keeping the house clean, ready for showings, juggling kids, dogs, life. In addition, making decisions can be tough. Good agents don’t tell you what your decision should be (sometimes we try to inform sellers of bad ones), they lay out the options, pros and cons in an organized fashion, answer questions and provide advice. The point is, a backup offer can create a calm environment and segue into a new transaction without going through all of the trouble again.

2) There’s an old saying that your first offer is always your best offer. However, in today’s crazy market it is not unusual for buyers to fire off quick offers with even quicker response times before the “bidding war” begins. In this context I’m not suggesting the very first offer is the best offer but rather the first group of offers is usually your best group of offers – if that makes sense. The more time that homes spend on the market, whether they are available or have an accepted contract, the more buyers assume there is room to negotiate. There are exceptions to every rule and that would include the points above. Of late, we have seen home values rise even during the time of which homes are in contract, but that seems to be subsiding. To bring this full circle to the market today, things appear to be leveling off (not dropping) in this new plateau appears to be a baseline for home and land prices, at least for now. This is all the more reason to consider these points, and to seek good real estate advice with these fast moving and ever evolving markets.

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